For several days we have been monitoring the potential for severe weather late Monday night into Tuesday.

The National Weather Service in Birmingham said that conditions are “supportive of some strong to severe storms across the western and southern counties.”

Today, Central and Northeast Oklahoma are facing a severe weather threat. Tomorrow, portions of Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas will be on guard. This system should track toward Alabama and Tennessee.

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James Spann, ABC 33/40, and Townsquare Media Tuscaloosa Chief Meteorologist said that “in typical fashion for late November, this will be a "high shear, low CAPE" event (CAPE is Convective Available Potential Energy, a measure of instability).

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‘The lack of surface-based instability will limit the overall severe weather threat, but a few storms over West and South Alabama tomorrow night and Tuesday could produce strong winds, and an isolated, brief tornado can't be totally ruled out,” said Spann.

Threat Areas and Risk Levels

The Storm Prediction Center has West Alabama under a "marginal risk.” Then Tuesday, after 6:00 a.m. the "marginal risk" could impact the southern portion of Alabama.

Currently, the overall threat timing will be from Monday 10 p.m. until Tuesday 2 p.m.

Townsquare Media Coverage Area Possible Impacted Counties

Monday 10 p.m. until Tuesday 6 a.m.

Fayette

Greene

Hale

Lamar

Pickens

Sumter

Tuscaloosa

Tuesday 2 a.m. until 10 a.m.

Bibb

Perry

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Threats

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has defined the threats of damaging winds up to 60 mph and a brief tornado possible during this severe weather threat.

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